Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 48.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 25.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a FeralpiSalo win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Spezia	Draw	FeralpiSalo
48.76% ( -0.11)	25.85% ( 0.08)	25.39% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 49.64% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.24% (

-0.28)

53.75% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.76% (

-0.24)

75.23% (

0.23)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.93% (

-0.17)

22.07% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.58% (

-0.25)

55.41% (

0.25)

FeralpiSalo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.69% (

-0.14)

36.3% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.91% (

-0.13)

73.08% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Spezia 48.75%

FeralpiSalo 25.39%

Draw 25.85%

Spezia	Draw	FeralpiSalo
1-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 48.75%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.85%	0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.87% Total : 25.39%