Serie B | Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Lino Turina

FeralpiSalo
5 - 1
Lecco

Martella (10'), Felici (66'), Butic (70', 86'), Tonetto (90+4')
Martella (28'), Bergonzi (63'), Felici (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Buso (79')
Galli (51')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between FeralpiSalo and Lecco.

Form, Standings, Stats

FeralpiSalo

All competitions
Last Game: FeralpiSalo 3-0 Catanzaro
Saturday, January 20 at 1pm in Serie B

Lecco

All competitions
Last Game: Lecco 1-3 Pisa
Saturday, January 20 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FeralpiSalo win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Lecco had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FeralpiSalo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Lecco win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FeralpiSalo would win this match.

Result
FeralpiSaloDrawLecco
41.13% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)27.37% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)31.5% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.91% (0.128 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.49% (0.155 0.16)56.51% (-0.156 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.5% (0.125 0.13)77.5% (-0.126 -0.13)
FeralpiSalo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98% (0.076999999999998 0.08)27.02% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.62% (0.103 0.1)62.38% (-0.103 -0.1)
Lecco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.01% (0.101 0.1)32.99% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.43% (0.112 0.11)69.57% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    FeralpiSalo 41.13%
    Lecco 31.5%
    Draw 27.37%
FeralpiSaloDrawLecco
1-0 @ 11.66% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.69% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 41.13%
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.91% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 9.89% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.65% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 31.5%

Head to Head
Sep 26, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 7
Lecco
1-2
FeralpiSalo
Buso (52')
Marrone (57'), Degl'Innocenti (83')
Balestrero (51'), Felici (54')
Balestrero (28'), Ceppitelli (71'), Pizzignacco (82')