Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Modena had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Modena win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cremonese in this match.

Result
Modena	Draw	Cremonese
28.98% ( 0.17)	27.96% ( 0.49)	43.05% ( -0.66)

Both teams to score 46.17% (

-1.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.54% (

-1.66)

59.46% (

1.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.17% (

-1.29)

79.82% (

1.29)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.56% (

-0.77)

36.43% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.78% (

-0.78)

73.22% (

0.78)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.63% (

-1.12)

27.37% (

1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.17% (

-1.47)

62.83% (

1.47)

Score Analysis

Modena 28.98%

Cremonese 43.05%

Draw 27.95%

Modena	Draw	Cremonese
1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.71% 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.89% Total : 28.98%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.61) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.95%	0-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 8.37% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.85% Total : 43.05%