Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Reggiana	Draw	Spezia
40.49% ( 0.57)	27.27% ( 0.11)	32.24% ( -0.68)

Both teams to score 49.44% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.06% (

-0.57)

55.95% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.96% (

-0.47)

77.04% (

0.47)

Reggiana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.9% (

0.04)

27.1% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.51% (

0.06)

62.49% (

-0.06)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.82% (

-0.76)

32.18% (

0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.34% (

-0.86)

68.66% (

0.86)

Score Analysis

Reggiana 40.49%

Spezia 32.24%

Draw 27.27%

Reggiana	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.01% Total : 40.49%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.27%	0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.24%