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Serie B | Gameweek 29
Mar 9, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia
2 - 1
Sudtirol

Verde (8', 73' pen.)
Hristov (34'), Falcinelli (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Casiraghi (32' pen.)
Davi (52'), Casiraghi (56'), Tait (59'), Rauti (82')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Spezia and Sudtirol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Bari 1-1 Spezia
Sunday, March 3 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Sudtirol

All competitions
Last Game: Sudtirol 1-0 Lecco
Saturday, March 2 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 48.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 24.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawSudtirol
48.93% (0.125 0.13)26.84% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)24.22% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 45.82% (0.174 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.8% (0.247 0.25)58.2% (-0.245 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16% (0.192 0.19)78.84% (-0.191 -0.19)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (0.166 0.17)23.88% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.92% (0.237 0.24)58.08% (-0.235 -0.23)
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.19% (0.097999999999999 0.1)39.81% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.52% (0.089000000000002 0.09)76.47% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 48.93%
    Sudtirol 24.23%
    Draw 26.84%
SpeziaDrawSudtirol
1-0 @ 13.61% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.65% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.29% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 48.93%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.51% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.84%
0-1 @ 8.76% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.78% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.03% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.77% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 24.23%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 1
Sudtirol
3-3
Spezia
Casiraghi (32' pen., 50' pen.), Odogwu (90+3')
Ghiringhelli (45+3'), Masiello (79'), Odogwu (86')
Moro (8', 62'), Reca (36')
Muhl (30'), Nikolaou (69'), Antonucci (90+2')