Serie B | Gameweek 28
Mar 2, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stadio Marco Druso

Sudtirol
1 - 0
Lecco

Tait (90+2')
Davi (12'), Scaglia (45+1'), Arrigoni (79'), Tait (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Guglielmotti (8'), Ionita (44'), Lunetta (82')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Sudtirol and Lecco.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sudtirol

All competitions
Last Game: Reggiana 1-1 Sudtirol
Tuesday, February 27 at 5.15pm in Serie B

Lecco

All competitions
Last Game: Lecco 0-3 Como
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Lecco had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Lecco win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sudtirol in this match.

Result
SudtirolDrawLecco
39.73% (0.018999999999998 0.02)28.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)32.01% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.41% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)59.59% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)79.92% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (0.01400000000001 0.01)29.27% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76% (0.015999999999998 0.02)65.24% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Lecco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.77% (-0.012 -0.01)34.23% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)70.92% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sudtirol 39.73%
    Lecco 32.01%
    Draw 28.25%
SudtirolDrawLecco
1-0 @ 12.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.78%
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 39.73%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 10.02%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.25%
0-1 @ 10.74%
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.76% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 32.01%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 19
Lecco
2-1
Sudtirol
Novakovich (63', 76')
Lepore (41'), Battistini (45+1'), Marrone (54'), Sersanti (65'), Degl'Innocenti (80')
Casiraghi (52' pen.)
Pecorino (33'), Rauti (56'), Peeters (59')