Serie B Gameweek 24
Feb 10, 2024 3.15pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale San Nicola
  • Ahmed Benali 16' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Benali 26' goal
  • Giuseppe Sibilli 41' yellowcard
  • George Puscas 53' goal
  • Giuseppe Sibilli 69' goal
  • Giacomo Ricci 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Davide Guglielmotti 30'
  • goal Andrija Novakovich 81'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Sersanti 90'+3'

Bari vs Lecco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bari

All competitions
Last game
Feb 2, 2024 7.30pm
Palermo 3 - 0 Bari
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Giuseppe Sibilli

Lecco

All competitions
Last game
Feb 3, 2024 3.15pm
Lecco 0 - 1 Cremonese
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Nicolo Buso

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 57.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lecco had a probability of 18.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Lecco win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.

Result

Bari 57.1% (-0.07)
Draw 24.09% (+0.04)
Lecco 18.81% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.56% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.38% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 53.62% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 24.88% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 75.12% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 11.28% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 88.72% (+0.04)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5 81.38% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 18.62% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 50.08% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 49.92% (+0.09)

Lecco Goals

Over 0.5 57.21% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 42.79% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 20.89% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 79.11% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Bari 57.09%
Draw 24.09%
Lecco 18.81%
Bari
1-0 @ 13.39% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 11.25%
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.31% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.65% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 57.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.36% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.97% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 24.09%
Lecco
0-1 @ 6.76% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.83% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.87% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.37% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 18.81%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 15
Dec 3, 2023 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi
  • Vedran Celjak 9' yellowcard
  • Andrija Novakovich 22' yellowcard
  • Duccio Degl'Innocenti 29' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Buso 70' goal
  • Lorenzo Di Stefano 73' yellowcard
  • Mats Lemmens 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marco Nasti 40'
  • yellowcard Francesco Vicari 64'
  • yellowcard Mehdi Dorval 90'+5'