Serie B | Gameweek 24
Feb 10, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola

Bari
3 - 1
Lecco

Benali (26'), Puscas (53'), Sibilli (69')
Benali (16'), Sibilli (41'), Ricci (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Novakovich (81')
Guglielmotti (30'), Sersanti (90+3')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Bari and Lecco.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bari

All competitions
Last Game: Palermo 3-0 Bari
Friday, February 2 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Lecco

All competitions
Last Game: Lecco 0-1 Cremonese
Saturday, February 3 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 57.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lecco had a probability of 18.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Lecco win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.

Result
BariDrawLecco
57.1% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)24.09% (0.030000000000001 0.03)18.81% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 46.56% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.38% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)53.62% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.88% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)75.12% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.38% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)18.62% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.08% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)49.92% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Lecco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)42.79% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.89% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)79.11% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bari 57.09%
    Lecco 18.81%
    Draw 24.09%
BariDrawLecco
1-0 @ 13.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.25%
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.65% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 57.09%
1-1 @ 11.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 24.09%
0-1 @ 6.76% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.83% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 2.87% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.37% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 18.81%

Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Lecco
1-0
Bari
Buso (70')
Celjak (9'), Novakovich (22'), Degl'Innocenti (29'), Di Stefano (73'), Lemmens (88')

Nasti (40'), Vicari (64'), Dorval (90+5')