Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 50.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Lecco had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Lecco win it was 1-0 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Como would win this match.