Serie B | Gameweek 28
Mar 3, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola
Spezia Calcio logo

Bari
1 - 1
Spezia

Sibilli (56')
Di Cesare (12'), Matino (26'), Nasti (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mateju (50')
Mateju (19'), Nagy (41'), Bertola (64')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Bari and Spezia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bari

All competitions
Last Game: Catanzaro 2-0 Bari
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Spezia 0-2 FeralpiSalo
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 47.8%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 25.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
BariDrawSpezia
47.8% (1.133 1.13)27.19% (-0.433 -0.43)25.01% (-0.699 -0.7)
Both teams to score 45.57% (0.575 0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.12% (1.033 1.03)58.88% (-1.031 -1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.62% (0.794 0.79)79.38% (-0.79299999999999 -0.79)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.29% (1.014 1.01)24.71% (-1.012 -1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.74% (1.398 1.4)59.26% (-1.397 -1.4)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.52% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)39.47% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.83% (-0.044 -0.04)76.17% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Bari 47.79%
    Spezia 25.01%
    Draw 27.19%
BariDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 13.63% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 9.53% (0.183 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.158 0.16)
3-0 @ 4.44% (0.211 0.21)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.19 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.116 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 47.79%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 9.76% (-0.385 -0.39)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.19%
0-1 @ 9.07% (-0.372 -0.37)
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 25.01%

Head to Head
Dec 15, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Spezia
1-0
Bari
Verde (84')
Esposito (19'), Verde (85'), Zurkowski (87'), Elia (90')
Zurkowski (90+4')

Achik (21'), Koutsoupias (40'), Maita (69'), Di Cesare (87')
Mar 13, 2018 5pm
Bari
1-1
Spezia
Brienza (71')
Forte (10')
Forte (13'), Mora (40')
Sep 30, 2017 2pm
Spezia
1-0
Bari
Lopez (84')
Capelli (30'), Maggiore (50'), Lopez (62')
Capelli (75')

Tello (32'), Improta (59'), Busellato (66'), Basha (90')