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Serie B | Gameweek 31
Apr 1, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
4 - 1
Ternana

De Luca (36' pen., 85', 90+4'), Stojanovic (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pereiro (65')
Luperini (21'), Casasola (87')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Sampdoria and Ternana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sampdoria

All competitions
Last Game: Bari 0-1 Sampdoria
Saturday, March 16 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Ternana

All competitions
Last Game: Ternana 1-0 Cosenza
Saturday, March 16 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.

Result
SampdoriaDrawTernana
47.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)25.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)27.4% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.57% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.58% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)49.42% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.54% (0.0039999999999978 0)71.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)20.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)53.51% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.67% (0.013999999999996 0.01)32.33% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02)68.83% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 47.48%
    Ternana 27.4%
    Draw 25.11%
SampdoriaDrawTernana
1-0 @ 10.56%
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.29% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 1.92%
4-0 @ 1.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 47.48%
1-1 @ 11.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27.4%

Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Ternana
1-2
Sampdoria
Distefano (90+1')
Proietti (41'), Celli (60'), Bogdan (90+5'), Bogdan (90+5')
La Gumina (5' pen.), Depaoli (77')
Verre (90')