Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 49.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 24.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Bari	Draw	Sampdoria
49.13% ( -0.44)	26.72% ( 0.29)	24.15% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 46.07% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.17% (

-0.94)

57.83% (

0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.44% (

-0.75)

78.56% (

0.75)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.37% (

-0.6)

23.63% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.28% (

-0.88)

57.73% (

0.88)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.33% (

-0.39)

39.67% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.65% (

-0.36)

76.35% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Bari 49.12%

Sampdoria 24.15%

Draw 26.72%

Bari	Draw	Sampdoria
1-0 @ 13.52% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 9.76% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.54% Total : 49.12%	1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.72%	0-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.4% Total : 24.15%