Serie B | Gameweek 29

Mar 11, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
2 - 1
Ascoli

Kasami (77'), De Luca (84')
Stojanovic (29'), De Luca (35'), Esposito (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Duris (10')
Quaranta (26'), Vasquez (71'), Valzania (84')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Sampdoria and Ascoli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sampdoria

All competitions

Last Game: FeralpiSalo 1-3 Sampdoria
Sunday, March 3 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ascoli

All competitions

Last Game: Ascoli 0-0 Reggiana
Sunday, March 3 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Ascoli
42.81% ( 0.33)	28.26% ( 0.01)	28.93% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 45.31% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.47% (

-0.16)

60.53% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.36% (

-0.12)

80.64% (

0.12)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.99% (

0.1)

28.01% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.35% (

0.13)

63.65% (

-0.13)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.93% (

-0.36)

37.07% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.14% (

-0.36)

73.86% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 42.81%

Ascoli 28.92%

Draw 28.26%

Sampdoria	Draw	Ascoli
1-0 @ 13.21% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 42.81%	1-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.26%	0-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.79% Total : 28.92%