Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 52.26%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 23.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Palermo	Draw	Ternana
52.26% ( -0.06)	23.85% ( 0.05)	23.88% ( 0)

Both teams to score 54.25% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.06% (

-0.24)

46.93% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.81% (

-0.23)

69.18% (

0.22)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.06% (

-0.12)

17.94% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.24% (

-0.19)

48.75% (

0.19)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.11% (

-0.13)

33.88% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.44% (

-0.14)

70.55% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Palermo 52.26%

Ternana 23.88%

Draw 23.85%

Palermo	Draw	Ternana
1-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.53% Total : 52.26%	1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.85%	0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.24% Total : 23.88%