Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.