Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 36.11%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Como |
| 36.03% ( | 27.87% ( | 36.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.25% ( | 57.75% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.51% ( | 78.49% ( |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.4% ( | 30.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.17% ( | 66.83% ( |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.45% ( | 30.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.23% ( | 66.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Como |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 2-0 @ 6.55% ( 3-1 @ 3.07% ( 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 4-1 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.02% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.35% ( 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 11.08% 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 6.57% ( 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0-3 @ 2.6% ( 2-3 @ 1.82% 1-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 36.1% |