Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 54.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 20.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Modena	Draw	Cagliari
54.84% ( 1.64)	25.11% ( -0.45)	20.05% ( -1.19)

Both teams to score 45.64% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.14% (

0.38)

55.86% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.03% (

0.31)

76.98% (

-0.31)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.64% (

0.82)

20.37% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.23% (

1.29)

52.77% (

-1.29)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.31% (

-1.05)

42.69% (

1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.97% (

-0.91)

79.03% (

0.91)

Score Analysis

Modena 54.83%

Cagliari 20.05%

Draw 25.11%

Modena	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 13.83% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 11% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.4% Total : 54.83%	1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.65% Total : 25.11%	0-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.94% Total : 20.05%