Serie B | Gameweek 35
Apr 27, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia

Modena
1 - 0
Sudtirol

Zaro (67')
Palumbo (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Davi (22'), Odogwu (72'), Rover (80'), Arrigoni (86'), Ciervo (90+2')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Sudtirol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Modena

All competitions
Last Game: Ascoli 0-0 Modena
Saturday, April 20 at 1pm in Serie B

Sudtirol

All competitions
Last Game: Sudtirol 0-0 Cittadella
Saturday, April 20 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 44.77%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 27.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Modena in this match.

Result
ModenaDrawSudtirol
44.77% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)27.82%27.41% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 45.66% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)59.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)79.98% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.43% (0.0040000000000049 0)26.57% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.22% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)61.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.18% (0.010999999999996 0.01)37.82% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.41% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)74.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Modena 44.76%
    Sudtirol 27.41%
    Draw 27.81%
ModenaDrawSudtirol
1-0 @ 13.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.58%
3-0 @ 3.9%
3-1 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.29%
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 44.76%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 10.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 9.77%
1-2 @ 6.3% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 27.41%

Head to Head
Sep 26, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 7
Sudtirol
0-0
Modena
Giorgini (75')
Manconi (63'), Ponsi (87')
May 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 38
Modena
2-1
Sudtirol
Bonfanti (10'), Magnino (23')
Oukhadda (9'), Seculin (65')
Tait (54')
Carretta (37'), Masiello (41')
Dec 26, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 19
Sudtirol
0-2
Modena
Magnino (22'), Armellino (81')