Serie B | Gameweek 31
Apr 1, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Como
2 - 0
Sudtirol

Da Cunha (26'), Gabrielloni (48')
Bellemo (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Merkaj (66')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Como and Sudtirol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Como

All competitions
Last Game: Como 3-1 Pisa
Saturday, March 16 at 1pm in Serie B

Sudtirol

All competitions
Last Game: Sudtirol 3-0 Cremonese
Saturday, March 16 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 51.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 22.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Como would win this match.

Result
ComoDrawSudtirol
51.54% (0.020000000000003 0.02)26.1% (0.0040000000000013 0)22.36% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.9% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.92% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)57.08% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.04% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)77.96% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.76% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)22.23% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.33% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)55.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.03% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)40.97% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.47% (-0.032 -0.03)77.53% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Como 51.53%
    Sudtirol 22.36%
    Draw 26.09%
ComoDrawSudtirol
1-0 @ 13.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.16% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 51.53%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 9.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 22.36%

Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Sudtirol
0-1
Como

Masiello (90+1')
Abildgaard (73')
Curto (29'), Verdi (35'), Lhassine Kone (73')
Feb 11, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 24
Sudtirol
1-1
Como
Zaro (69')
Cerri (90+1' pen.)
Sep 10, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 5
Como
0-2
Sudtirol
Mazzocchi (79'), Casiraghi (87' pen.)