Serie B | Gameweek 28
Mar 3, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Venezia

Como
2 - 1
Venezia

Verdi (38'), Cutrone (90')
Verdi (49')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pohjanpalo (40')
Candela (75'), Sverko (88')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Como and Venezia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecco 0-3 Como
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Venezia 2-0 Cittadella
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Como had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
ComoDrawVenezia
34.43% (-0.317 -0.32)26.39% (-0.167 -0.17)39.18% (0.486 0.49)
Both teams to score 52.72% (0.496 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.99% (0.65499999999999 0.65)52% (-0.651 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.26% (0.563 0.56)73.74% (-0.559 -0.56)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.23% (0.122 0.12)28.76% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.4% (0.15300000000001 0.15)64.6% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74% (0.572 0.57)25.99% (-0.568 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.99% (0.764 0.76)61.01% (-0.76 -0.76)
Score Analysis
    Como 34.43%
    Venezia 39.18%
    Draw 26.39%
ComoDrawVenezia
1-0 @ 9.32% (-0.212 -0.21)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.8% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.25% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.41% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.43%
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.48% (-0.195 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.07 0.07)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 10.07% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.083 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.79% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.098 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.05% (0.069 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.069 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.053 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 39.18%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Venezia
3-0
Como
Pierini (19', 32'), Pohjanpalo (54')
Apr 1, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 31
Venezia
3-2
Como
Candela (45'), Milanese (48'), Pohjanpalo (50')
Da Cunha (8'), Gabrielloni (90')
Nov 6, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 12
Como
1-0
Venezia
Bellemo (65')