Serie B | Gameweek 33
Apr 12, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia

Modena
1 - 3
Catanzaro

Tremolada (34')
Zaro (21'), Tremolada (44'), Battistella (83')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Iemmello (16', 68'), Vandeputte (25')
Scognamillo (70')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Catanzaro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Modena

All competitions
Last Game: Ternana 0-0 Modena
Saturday, April 6 at 1pm in Serie B

Catanzaro

All competitions
Last Game: Catanzaro 1-2 Como
Saturday, April 6 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
ModenaDrawCatanzaro
40.19% (-0.114 -0.11)27.71% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)32.1% (0.146 0.15)
Both teams to score 48.11% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.4% (0.145 0.14)57.61% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.62% (0.115 0.11)78.38% (-0.11200000000001 -0.11)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95% (0.0049999999999955 0)28.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)63.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Catanzaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.87% (0.18000000000001 0.18)33.13% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.27% (0.196 0.2)69.73% (-0.193 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Modena 40.19%
    Catanzaro 32.09%
    Draw 27.71%
ModenaDrawCatanzaro
1-0 @ 11.81% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.51% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.18% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.12%
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 40.19%
1-1 @ 13.05%
0-0 @ 9.29% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.71%
0-1 @ 10.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.21% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 32.09%

Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 12
Catanzaro
1-2
Modena
Vandeputte (19')
Scognamillo (86'), Brighenti (90')
Manconi (27'), Bozhanaj (90+5')
Manconi (4'), Ponsi (15'), Palumbo (59'), Bozhanaj (79')
Jul 31, 2022 7.30pm
Preliminary Round
Modena
3-1
Catanzaro
Silvestri (2'), Diaw (45+1'), Magnino (74')
Ciofani (27'), Azzi (47')
Tentardini (59')
Gatti (80')