Serie B | Gameweek 31
Apr 1, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia

Modena
1 - 1
Bari

Palumbo (51' pen.)
Manconi (56'), Pergreffi (78'), Ponsi (81'), Cotali (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pucino (62')
Sibilli (22')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Bari.

Form, Standings, Stats

Modena

All competitions
Last Game: Cittadella 1-1 Modena
Saturday, March 16 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Bari

All competitions
Last Game: Bari 0-1 Sampdoria
Saturday, March 16 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Bari had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
ModenaDrawBari
39.54% (-0.116 -0.12)27.65% (0.035 0.04)32.81% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Both teams to score 48.45% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.74% (-0.122 -0.12)57.26% (0.115 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.89% (-0.096 -0.1)78.1% (0.091000000000008 0.09)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (-0.124 -0.12)28.26% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (-0.156 -0.16)63.97% (0.149 0.15)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)32.46% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)68.98% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Modena 39.53%
    Bari 32.81%
    Draw 27.65%
ModenaDrawBari
1-0 @ 11.59% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.09% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 39.53%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.17% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.65%
0-1 @ 10.32% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.81% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.18% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 32.81%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 10
Bari
1-1
Modena
Sibilli (72')
Ricci (12'), Sibilli (73'), Di Cesare (80')
Manconi (83')
Zaro (14'), Cauz (55'), Cotali (67'), Gerli (68'), Bozhanaj (78')
May 6, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 36
Modena
1-1
Bari
Diaw (77' pen.)
Ricci (34')
Dec 11, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 17
Bari
4-1
Modena
Botta (6'), Folorunsho (20'), Cittadini (54' og.), Di Cesare (90+1')
Diaw (90+5')