Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Modena had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.