Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Modena had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 1-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Modena win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.