Serie B | Gameweek 38
May 10, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi

Lecco
2 - 3
Modena

Sersanti (22'), Buso (59')
Caporale (23'), Sersanti (27'), Crociata (67')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Strizzolo (2', 35'), Bozhanaj (29')
Palumbo (45'), Santoro (76')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Lecco and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brescia 4-1 Lecco
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 0-0 Como
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 49.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Lecco had a probability of 24.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Lecco win it was 1-0 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.

Result
LeccoDrawModena
24.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.57% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)49.66%
Both teams to score 49.89% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.86% (0.0020000000000024 0)53.14% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.28%74.71% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Lecco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.51% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.7% (0.0010000000000012 0)73.29% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.58% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.42% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.58%54.42% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Lecco 24.76%
    Modena 49.66%
    Draw 25.57%
LeccoDrawModena
1-0 @ 7.88%
2-1 @ 6.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.97%
3-1 @ 2.05%
3-2 @ 1.58%
3-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 24.76%
1-1 @ 12.14%
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.71%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 12.04%
1-2 @ 9.36%
0-2 @ 9.28%
1-3 @ 4.81%
0-3 @ 4.77%
2-3 @ 2.42%
1-4 @ 1.85%
0-4 @ 1.84%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 49.66%

Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 6
Modena
0-0
Lecco
Pergreffi (1'), Zaro (46'), Manconi (84')
Ionita (65')