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Serie B | Gameweek 35
Apr 27, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
4 - 0
Lecco

Bernabe (15', 31'), Mihaila (23'), Camara (88')
Circati (83'), Camara (88')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Sersanti (58')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Parma and Lecco.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Palermo 0-0 Parma
Friday, April 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Lecco 1-2 Venezia
Saturday, April 20 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 65.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Lecco had a probability of 14.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Lecco win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.

Result
ParmaDrawLecco
65.57% (0.12 0.12)20.09% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)14.33% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 49.46% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.19% (0.07 0.07)44.8% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.84% (0.067 0.07)67.16% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.16% (0.052000000000007 0.05)12.84% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.81% (0.116 0.12)39.18% (-0.121 -0.12)
Lecco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.75% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)43.25% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.5% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)79.5% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Parma 65.56%
    Lecco 14.33%
    Draw 20.09%
ParmaDrawLecco
2-0 @ 11.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 8.01% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.71% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.11% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.44% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.69% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.41% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 65.56%
1-1 @ 9.55% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 20.09%
0-1 @ 4.65% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 14.33%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 13
Lecco
3-2
Parma
Novakovich (23'), Buso (42'), Lepore (57')
Lemmens (12'), Degl'Innocenti (38'), Marrone (53')
Benedyczak (12' pen.), Charpentier (70')
Benedyczak (13'), Hernani (19'), Chichizola (90+10')
Hernani (31')