Parma logo
Serie B | Gameweek 33
Apr 13, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Spezia Calcio logo

Parma
2 - 0
Spezia

Hernani (45+1'), Charpentier (87')
Bonny (43'), Circati (67'), Candelari (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Falcinelli (45+6'), Colak (90')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Parma and Spezia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions
Last Game: Sudtirol 0-0 Parma
Saturday, April 6 at 1pm in Serie B

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Spezia 1-1 Lecco
Saturday, April 6 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.

Result
ParmaDrawSpezia
51.11% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)25.09% (0.015000000000001 0.02)23.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 50.32% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.91% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)52.08% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.19% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)73.81% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.62% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)20.38% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.2% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)52.79% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.2% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)36.8% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.41% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)73.58% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Parma 51.11%
    Spezia 23.79%
    Draw 25.09%
ParmaDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 11.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 51.11%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.5% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.5% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 23.79%

Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Spezia
0-1
Parma

Zurkowski (34')
Moutinho (90+4' og.)
Camara (44'), Partipilo (64')
Feb 27, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 24
Spezia
2-2
Parma
Gyasi (52', 72')
Ricci (21'), N'Zola (88'), Acampora (90')
Karamoh (17'), Hernani (25')
Brunetta (9'), Hernani (50'), Kurtic (84'), Gagliolo (85')
> Preview
Oct 25, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 5
Parma
2-2
Spezia
Gagliolo (34'), Kucka (90+2' pen.)
Grassi (5'), Hernani (23'), Sohm (90')
Chabot (28'), Agudelo (31')
Pobega (6'), Ferrer (85')
> Preview
May 18, 2018 7.30pm
Spezia
0-2
Parma

Gilardino (24'), Lopez (42')
Ceravolo (11'), Ciciretti (61')
Ceravolo (23'), Sierralta (45'), Ciciretti (62')
Dec 27, 2017 7.30pm
Parma
0-0
Spezia
Lucarelli (31'), Di Cesare (57'), Sierralta (73')
Lucarelli (42')
Bolzoni (24'), Terzi (47'), Maggiore (48'), De Col (88')
rhs 2.0


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