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Serie B | Gameweek 32
Apr 6, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia
1 - 1
Lecco

Hristov (12')
Tanco (46'), Bandinelli (48'), Novakovich (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Buso (41')
Sersanti (31'), Lamanna (61'), Crociata (78'), Parigini (84'), Celjak (88'), Celjak (88')
Sersanti (66')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Spezia and Lecco.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 2-1 Ascoli
Monday, April 1 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Lecco 1-1 Cittadella
Monday, April 1 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Lecco had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Lecco win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawLecco
56.53% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)24.37% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)19.1% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 46.27% (0.146 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.74% (0.14100000000001 0.14)54.25% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.35% (0.121 0.12)75.65% (-0.121 -0.12)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.92% (0.035000000000011 0.04)19.08% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.32% (0.060000000000002 0.06)50.68% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Lecco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.18% (0.156 0.16)42.82% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.86% (0.131 0.13)79.14% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 56.52%
    Lecco 19.1%
    Draw 24.36%
SpeziaDrawLecco
1-0 @ 13.53% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 11.2% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.19% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.25% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 56.52%
1-1 @ 11.47%
0-0 @ 8.17% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.36%
0-1 @ 6.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.87% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.94% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.38% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 19.1%

Head to Head
Nov 8, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Lecco
0-0
Spezia
Sersanti (6'), Guglielmotti (37'), Crociata (81')
Bertola (17'), Kouda (37'), Reca (70'), Cassata (75'), Pio Esposito (84'), Ekdal (86')