Coppa Italia
Aug 12, 2024 8.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Roberto Piccoli 33' goal
  • Alessandro Deiola 38' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Pavoletti 41' goal
  • Matteo Prati 71' goal
  • yellowcard Leonardo Capezzi 40'
  • goal Giuseppe Panico 55'
  • yellowcard Julian Illanes Minucci 62'

Cagliari vs Carrarese - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions

Carrarese

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Carrarese had a probability of 22.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Carrarese win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result

Cagliari 52.94% (-0.44)
Draw 24.1% (-0.04)
Carrarese 22.95% (+0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.38% (+0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.12% (+0.62)
Under 2.5 48.87% (-0.63)
Over 3.5 29.02% (+0.57)
Under 3.5 70.97% (-0.57)
Over 4.5 14% (+0.38)
Under 4.5 85.99% (-0.39)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 81.58% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 18.41% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 50.43% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 49.56% (-0.13)

Carrarese Goals

Over 0.5 64.2% (+0.78)
Under 0.5 35.79% (-0.79)
Over 1.5 27.43% (+0.80)
Under 1.5 72.56% (-0.81)

Score analysis

Cagliari 52.93%
Draw 24.09%
Carrarese 22.95%
Cagliari
1-0 @ 11.14% (-0.27)
2-1 @ 9.69% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.43% (-0.21)
3-1 @ 5.47% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.32% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.81% (+0.07)
4-1 @ 2.31% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.25% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.19% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 52.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 4.98% (+0.11)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 24.09%
Carrarese
0-1 @ 6.77% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 5.89% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 3.48% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 2.02% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.71% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.19% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 22.95%