Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Carrarese had a probability of 22.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Carrarese win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Carrarese
52.94% ( -0.44)	24.1% ( -0.04)	22.95% ( 0.47)

Both teams to score 52.38% (

0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.12% (

0.62)

48.87% (

-0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.02% (

0.56)

70.97% (

-0.57)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.58% (

0.06)

18.41% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.43% (

0.11)

49.56% (

-0.12)

Carrarese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.2% (

0.78)

35.79% (

-0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.43% (

0.79)

72.56% (

-0.8)

Score Analysis

Cagliari 52.93%

Carrarese 22.95%

Draw 24.09%

Cagliari	Draw	Carrarese
1-0 @ 11.14% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.31% Total : 52.93%	1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.09%	0-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.91% Total : 22.95%