Coppa Italia | Preliminary Round

Aug 3, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio dei Marmi

Carrarese
2 - 1
Catania

Cherubini (46'), Cerri (89')
Palmieri (33'), Schiavi (50'), Panico (56'), Cicconi (68'), Imperiale (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Popovic (54')
Popovic (27'), Monaco (56')

Coverage of the Coppa Italia Preliminary Round clash between Carrarese and Catania.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrarese

All competitions

Last Game: Virtus Entella 0-0 Carrarese
Sunday, July 28 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Catania

Last Game: Venezia 2-1 Catania
Sunday, August 11 at 6pm in Coppa Italia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 49.86%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Catania had a probability of 22.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Catania win it was 0-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrarese would win this match.

Result
Carrarese	Draw	Catania
49.86% ( 0.24)	27.62% ( -0.29)	22.51% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 42.15% (

0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.96% (

0.91)

62.04% (

-0.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.23% (

0.66)

81.76% (

-0.67)

Carrarese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.85% (

0.53)

25.15% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.13% (

0.72)

59.86% (

-0.73)

Catania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.31% (

0.57)

43.68% (

-0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.14% (

0.48)

79.86% (

-0.48)

Score Analysis

Carrarese 49.85%

Catania 22.51%

Draw 27.61%

Carrarese	Draw	Catania
1-0 @ 15.16% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.07% Total : 49.85%	1-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.49% Total : 27.61%	0-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.51%