Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 3

Sep 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Dacia Arena

Udinese
1 - 0
Como

Brenner (43')
Bijol (68'), Zemura (90+1'), Zemura (90+9')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fabregas i Soler (69'), Fabregas i Soler (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Udinese 2-1 Lazio
Saturday, August 24 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Como

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Como
Monday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Como had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Udinese in this match.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Como
44.82% ( 0.82)	26.51% ( -0.15)	28.67% ( -0.67)

Both teams to score 50.14% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.7% (

0.27)

54.3% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.31% (

0.22)

75.69% (

-0.22)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.88% (

0.52)

24.12% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.57% (

0.74)

58.43% (

-0.74)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.08% (

-0.37)

33.92% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.4% (

-0.41)

70.6% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Udinese 44.82%

Como 28.67%

Draw 26.51%

Udinese	Draw	Como
1-0 @ 11.63% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.62% Total : 44.82%	1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.51%	0-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.32% Total : 28.67%