Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.