Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 1

Aug 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
3 - 1
Venezia

Castellanos (11'), Zaccagni (44' pen.), Altare (81' og.)
Castellanos (52')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Andersen (3')
Sagrado (32'), Haps (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Venezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cadiz 0-1 Lazio
Saturday, August 10 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Venezia

All competitions

Last Game: Brescia 3-1 Venezia
Sunday, August 11 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Venezia
46.64% ( 0.06)	25.9% ( -0.03)	27.46% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 51.18% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.43% (

0.09)

52.57% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.77% (

0.07)

74.22% (

-0.08)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.47% (

0.06)

22.52% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.9% (

0.09)

56.1% (

-0.1)

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.06% (

0.02)

33.94% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.38% (

0.02)

70.62% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Lazio 46.63%

Venezia 27.46%

Draw 25.89%

Lazio	Draw	Venezia
1-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 46.63%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 27.46%