/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Fvenlog.png)
-
Valentin Castellanos
11'
-
Mattia Zaccagni
44'
-
Valentin Castellanos
52'
-
Giorgio Altare
81'
-
Magnus Andersen
3'
-
Richie Sagrado
32'
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Ridgeciano Haps
72'
Lazio vs Venezia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F32%2Fmarco-baroni_1.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result
Lazio
46.64%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
25.9%
▼
(-0.03)
Venezia
27.46%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
51.18%
▲
(+0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.43%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 2.5
52.57%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 3.5
25.77%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 3.5
74.22%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 4.5
11.85%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 4.5
88.15%
▼
(-0.06)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5
77.47%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
22.52%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 1.5
43.9%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 1.5
56.1%
▼
(-0.10)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5
66.06%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
33.94%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
29.38%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
70.62%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
Lazio
46.63%
Draw
25.89%
Venezia
27.46%
Lazio
1-0
@
11.39%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.49% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 46.63%
2-1 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.49% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 46.63%
Draw
1-1
@
12.31%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.89%
0-0 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.89%
Venezia
0-1
@
8.26%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.65% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 27.46%
1-2 @ 6.65% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 27.46%
