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Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 11, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Mario Rigamonti
Venezia

Brescia
3 - 1
Venezia

Borrelli (14'), Olzer (46', 82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Idzes (89')
Sverko (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Coppa Italia clash between Brescia and Venezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brescia

All competitions
Last Game: Brescia 2-2 Renate
Sunday, August 4 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3

Venezia

All competitions
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 Venezia
Sunday, August 4 at 1.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
BresciaDrawVenezia
30.72% (-0.299 -0.3)26% (0.16 0.16)43.28% (0.135 0.13)
Both teams to score 52.8% (-0.654 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.63% (-0.784 -0.78)51.37% (0.78 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.81% (-0.688 -0.69)73.19% (0.684 0.68)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1% (-0.60600000000001 -0.61)30.9% (0.602 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.81% (-0.716 -0.72)67.18% (0.712 0.71)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41% (-0.276 -0.28)23.59% (0.272 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.34% (-0.399 -0.4)57.66% (0.394 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Brescia 30.72%
    Venezia 43.27%
    Draw 25.99%
BresciaDrawVenezia
1-0 @ 8.56% (0.125 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.26% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.84% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.97% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 30.72%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.29% (0.224 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 10.52% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.6% (0.115 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.3% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.66% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 43.27%

How you voted: Brescia vs Venezia

Brescia
0.0%
Draw
12.5%
Venezia
87.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 33
Venezia
2-0
Brescia
Tessmann (20', 90')
Sverko (51'), Jajalo (90+2')

Galazzi (46'), Fares (54')
Sep 23, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 6
Brescia
0-0
Venezia
Fares (31'), Paghera (39'), Bisoli (75')
Vanoli (32'), Tessmann (64'), Zampano (68')
Mar 11, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 29
Venezia
1-1
Brescia
Pohjanpalo (50')
Van de Looi (61')
Oct 22, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 10
Brescia
1-1
Venezia
Ndoj (31')
Crnigoj (87')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
Venezia
0-1
Brescia

Johnsen (27'), Esposito (70')
Johnsen (84')
Aye (33')
Chancellor (20'), van de Looi (56'), Bisoli (70'), Papetti (74')