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Club Friendlies 3
Jul 24, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Mario Rigamonti

Brescia
3 - 0
Pergolettese

Bjarnason (8' pen.), Bianchi (24', 29')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Brescia and Pergolettese.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brescia

All competitions
Last Game: Catanzaro 4-2 Brescia
Saturday, May 18 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Pergolettese

All competitions
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-1 Pergolettese
Monday, July 22 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 56.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Pergolettese had a probability of 20.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Pergolettese win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.

Result
BresciaDrawPergolettese
56.18% (0.229 0.23)23.18% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)20.65% (-0.225 -0.23)
Both teams to score 52.15% (-0.329 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.35% (-0.272 -0.27)47.65% (0.276 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (-0.251 -0.25)69.85% (0.254 0.25)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.23% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)16.77% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.28% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)46.72% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Pergolettese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.66% (-0.381 -0.38)37.34% (0.384 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.88% (-0.378 -0.38)74.12% (0.381 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Brescia 56.17%
    Pergolettese 20.65%
    Draw 23.18%
BresciaDrawPergolettese
1-0 @ 11.18% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 9.98% (0.102 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.94% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.65% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 56.17%
1-1 @ 11.01%
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.071 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.18%
0-1 @ 6.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.43% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 20.65%