Serie B | Gameweek 38
May 10, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola
Brescia logo

Bari
2 - 0
Brescia

Sibilli (26'), Di Cesare (57')
Maran (2'), Dorval (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Bari and Brescia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bari

All competitions
Last Game: Cittadella 1-1 Bari
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Serie B

Brescia

All competitions
Last Game: Brescia 4-1 Lecco
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.

Result
BariDrawBrescia
44.49% (0.031999999999996 0.03)27.02% (-0.004999999999999 -0)28.48% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.52% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.67% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)56.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.64% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)77.35% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.81% (0.012 0.01)25.18% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.08% (0.020000000000003 0.02)59.91% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.86% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)35.14% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.11% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)71.89% (0.02300000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bari 44.49%
    Brescia 28.48%
    Draw 27.02%
BariDrawBrescia
1-0 @ 12.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.41% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 3.87% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 44.49%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.85%
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.02%
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 28.48%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 11
Brescia
1-2
Bari
Moncini (11' pen.)
Bjarnason (57'), Galazzi (74'), Olzer (80')
Diaw (58'), Vicari (76')
Di Cesare (9'), Sibilli (23'), Koutsoupias (85')
Feb 25, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 26
Brescia
0-2
Bari
Benedetti (21'), Scheidler (90+3')
Oct 1, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 7
Bari
6-2
Brescia
Folorunsho (7'), Bellomo (26'), Cheddira (43', 55'), Antenucci (68'), Scheidler (77')
Olzer (86'), Moreo (90+1')
Mar 24, 2018 7.30pm
Bari
3-0
Brescia
Improta (8'), Cisse (30'), Nene (54')
Henderson (56'), Empereur (85')

Cortesi (7'), Cancellotti (41'), Torregrossa (72')
Oct 23, 2017 7.30pm
Brescia
2-1
Bari
Caracciolo (17'), Capradossi (53' og.)
Gastaldello (77'), Caracciolo (83'), Martinelli (90')
Galano (33')
Capradossi (62'), Busellato (82')
rhs 2.0


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