Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Bari had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Bari win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Bari	Draw	Parma
27.96% ( -0.07)	27.36% ( -0.02)	44.67% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 47.25% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.2% (

0.04)

57.8% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.47% (

0.04)

78.53% (

-0.04)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.65% (

-0.03)

36.35% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.86% (

-0.03)

73.13% (

0.03)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.24% (

0.06)

25.76% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.3% (

0.09)

60.7% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Bari 27.96%

Parma 44.67%

Draw 27.36%

Bari	Draw	Parma
1-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 1.89% Total : 27.96%	1-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.36%	0-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.61% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 44.67%