Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Bari	Draw	Pisa
38.27% ( 1.15)	28.58% ( -0.27)	33.14% ( -0.87)

Both teams to score 45.84% (

0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.45% (

0.85)

60.55% (

-0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.34% (

0.63)

80.65% (

-0.63)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.39% (

1.13)

30.61% (

-1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.15% (

1.32)

66.85% (

-1.32)

Pisa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.06% (

-0.16)

33.94% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.38% (

-0.17)

70.61% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Bari 38.27%

Pisa 33.14%

Draw 28.58%

Bari	Draw	Pisa
1-0 @ 12.29% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.27%	1-1 @ 13.29% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.58%	0-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.37% Total : 33.14%