Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 52.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 22.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a FeralpiSalo win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.

Result
Pisa	Draw	FeralpiSalo
52.48% ( -0.38)	24.79% ( 0.14)	22.73% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 50.01% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.11% (

-0.28)

51.89% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.35% (

-0.24)

73.65% (

0.25)

Pisa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.25% (

-0.26)

19.75% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.22% (

-0.42)

51.79% (

0.43)

FeralpiSalo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.32% (

0.08)

37.68% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.54% (

0.08)

74.46% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Pisa 52.48%

FeralpiSalo 22.73%

Draw 24.79%

Pisa	Draw	FeralpiSalo
1-0 @ 12.07% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 52.48%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.79%	0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.63% Total : 22.73%