Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Bari had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Bari win was 1-0 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.

Result
Bari	Draw	Cremonese
30.67% ( -0.44)	28.2% ( 0.05)	41.13% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 46.24% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.27% (

-0.28)

59.73% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.97% (

-0.21)

80.03% (

0.22)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.71% (

-0.48)

35.28% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.96% (

-0.5)

72.04% (

0.5)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.45% (

0.09)

28.55% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.66% (

0.11)

64.34% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Bari 30.67%

Cremonese 41.12%

Draw 28.19%

Bari	Draw	Cremonese
1-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.09% Total : 30.67%	1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.19%	0-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.68% Total : 41.12%