Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.

Result
Brescia	Draw	Genoa
42.21% ( -0.18)	28.38% ( 0.08)	29.41% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 45.23% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.26% (

-0.24)

60.73% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.2% (

-0.18)

80.79% (

0.18)

Brescia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.57% (

-0.22)

28.43% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.81% (

-0.27)

64.19% (

0.27)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.2% (

-0.06)

36.8% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.41% (

-0.05)

73.58% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Brescia 42.21%

Genoa 29.4%

Draw 28.37%

Brescia	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 13.15% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.66% Total : 42.21%	1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.37%	0-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 29.4%