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Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 9, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Dacia Arena

Udinese
4 - 0
Avellino

Brenner (41'), Thauvin (49' pen.), Lucca (58'), Davis (88')
Brenner (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Liotti (3'), Patierno (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Coppa Italia clash between Udinese and Avellino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Hilal 1-0 Udinese
Saturday, August 3 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Avellino 3-1 Juve Stabia
Sunday, August 4 at 7.45pm in Coppa Italia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Avellino had a probability of 22.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for an Avellino win it was 1-2 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawAvellino
55.49%22.36%22.15%
Both teams to score 57.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.78%42.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.38%64.62%
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.9%15.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.35%43.64%
Avellino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.18%32.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.61%69.39%
Score Analysis
    Udinese 55.49%
    Avellino 22.15%
    Draw 22.35%
UdineseDrawAvellino
2-1 @ 9.87%
1-0 @ 9.37%
2-0 @ 8.86%
3-1 @ 6.22%
3-0 @ 5.58%
3-2 @ 3.46%
4-1 @ 2.94%
4-0 @ 2.64%
4-2 @ 1.64%
5-1 @ 1.11%
5-0 @ 1%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 55.49%
1-1 @ 10.43%
2-2 @ 5.5%
0-0 @ 4.96%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.35%
1-2 @ 5.81%
0-1 @ 5.52%
0-2 @ 3.08%
1-3 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 22.15%

How you voted: Udinese vs Avellino

Udinese
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Avellino
0.0%
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