Coppa Italia | Preliminary Round
Aug 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi

Avellino
3 - 1
Juve Stabia

Tribuzzi (2', 66'), Frascatore (45+1')
Palmiero (32'), Rocca (68'), Vano (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Piscopo (21')
Liotti (33'), Artistico (39'), Piscopo (65')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia Preliminary Round clash between Avellino and Juve Stabia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Avellino

Last Game: Ternana 1-1 Avellino (4-3 pen.)
Sunday, August 8 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia

Juve Stabia

All competitions
Last Game: Arezzo 1-2 Juve Stabia
Sunday, July 28 at 4.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avellino win with a probability of 46.16%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Juve Stabia had a probability of 25.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avellino win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Juve Stabia win it was 0-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Avellino would win this match.

Result
AvellinoDrawJuve Stabia
46.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)25.74% (0.0089999999999968 0.01)
Both teams to score 43.79% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.54% (0.026000000000003 0.03)61.45% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.66% (0.018000000000001 0.02)81.33% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Avellino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (0.010000000000005 0.01)26.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.05% (0.015000000000001 0.02)61.94% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Juve Stabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.73% (0.021999999999998 0.02)40.26% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.1% (0.02 0.02)76.89% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Avellino 46.15%
    Juve Stabia 25.74%
    Draw 28.09%
AvellinoDrawJuve Stabia
1-0 @ 14.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.13%
3-1 @ 3.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.36%
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 46.15%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 10.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 28.09%
0-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 5.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 25.74%