Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 64.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 13.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.33%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Asteras Tripolis
64.15% ( -0.13)	22.08% ( 0.01)	13.76% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 42.12% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.05% (

0.17)

53.95% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.6% (

0.14)

75.39% (

-0.14)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.76% (

0.01)

16.23% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.25% (

0.03)

45.75% (

-0.03)

Asteras Tripolis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.29% (

0.27)

49.71% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.54% (

0.19)

84.46% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Bologna 64.15%

Asteras Tripolis 13.76%

Draw 22.08%

Bologna	Draw	Asteras Tripolis
1-0 @ 14.67% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 13.33% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 64.15%	1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.08%	0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 13.76%