Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Panetolikos had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.35%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest Panetolikos win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Asteras Tripolis would win this match.