Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 2
Aug 11, 2024 at 4pm UK
Olimpiysky National Sports Complex

Shakhtar
0 - 1
Polissya


Kevin (90+12')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Chobotenko (35')
Hutsuliak (65'), Mykhaylichenko (72'), Volynets (90+12')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Polissya Zhytomyr.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Vorskla 0-5 Shakhtar
Sunday, August 4 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Polissya Zhytomyr

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Polissya 1-2 Ljubljana
Thursday, August 1 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 61.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Polissya Zhytomyr had a probability of 17.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Polissya Zhytomyr win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawPolissya Zhytomyr
61.16% (-0.599 -0.6)21.41% (0.187 0.19)17.42% (0.412 0.41)
Both teams to score 52.22% (0.243 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.25% (-0.107 -0.11)44.75% (0.107 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.89% (-0.101 -0.1)67.11% (0.102 0.1)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.86% (-0.217 -0.22)14.14% (0.218 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.21% (-0.428 -0.43)41.79% (0.428 0.43)
Polissya Zhytomyr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.81% (0.435 0.43)39.18% (-0.434 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.1% (0.404 0.4)75.89% (-0.40299999999999 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 61.15%
    Polissya Zhytomyr 17.42%
    Draw 21.41%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawPolissya Zhytomyr
1-0 @ 10.83% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.6% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.91% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.38% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.17% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.32% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 61.15%
1-1 @ 10.15% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.54% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.65% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.41%
0-1 @ 5.19% (0.084 0.08)
1-2 @ 4.76% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.43% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.49% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 17.42%

Head to Head
May 25, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 30
Polissya
2-0
Shakhtar
Pedrinho (27' og.), Hernandez (29')
Fortune (90+5')

Kevin (90+4')
Nov 24, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 15
Shakhtar
0-0
Polissya
Sudakov (34')
Shapoval (10'), Arielson (80'), Tankovskiy (82')
Tankovskiy (90+2')