Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 4, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butov'skogo
Shakhtar Donetsk

Vorskla
0 - 5
Shakhtar


Pavliuk (17'), Kovtalyuk (22')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Matviyenko (8', 68'), Zubkov (31'), Sudakov (67' pen.), Sikan (88')
Kevin (10'), Bondar (22'), Pedrinho (90')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Vorskla Poltava and Shakhtar Donetsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vorskla Poltava

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Minai 0-1 Vorskla
Saturday, July 20 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 2-2 Shakhtar
Saturday, July 27 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 61.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 17.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 1-0 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Vorskla PoltavaDrawShakhtar Donetsk
17.5% (-0.235 -0.23)21.17% (-0.212 -0.21)61.32% (0.442 0.44)
Both teams to score 53.13% (0.216 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.4% (0.52500000000001 0.53)43.6% (-0.529 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.01% (0.512 0.51)65.99% (-0.51600000000001 -0.52)
Vorskla Poltava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.58% (0.033999999999999 0.03)38.41% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.83% (0.035 0.04)75.17% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.28% (0.301 0.3)13.71% (-0.305 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.04% (0.599 0.6)40.96% (-0.60299999999999 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Vorskla Poltava 17.5%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 61.31%
    Draw 21.17%
Vorskla PoltavaDrawShakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 5.04% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-1 @ 4.79% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-0 @ 2.41% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.52% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 17.5%
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.27% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.17%
0-1 @ 10.46% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 10.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.0029999999999983 0)
0-3 @ 6.89% (0.072 0.07)
1-3 @ 6.59% (0.075 0.08)
0-4 @ 3.42% (0.073 0.07)
1-4 @ 3.27% (0.073 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.039 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.57% (0.036 0.04)
0-5 @ 1.36% (0.044 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.3% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 61.31%

How you voted: Vorskla vs Shakhtar

Vorskla Poltava
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Shakhtar Donetsk
100%
5
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 11am
Gameweek 24
Vorskla
0-1
Shakhtar

Krupskyi (72')
Sikan (22')
Zubkov (56')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Shakhtar
1-2
Vorskla
Zubkov (57')
Stepanenko (59')
Sklyar (22' pen.), Nesterenko (71')
Jun 4, 2023 1.20pm
Gameweek 30
Vorskla
2-1
Shakhtar
Sulejmanov (37' pen.), Pavliuk (50')
Sulejmanov (22'), Isenko (90+4')
Perduta (74')
Bondarenko (80')
Nov 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 15
Shakhtar
3-2
Vorskla
Sudakov (27'), Kryskiv (47'), Mudryk (86' pen.)
Sulejmanov (62'), Chelyadin (75')
Apr 30, 2022 1am
Gameweek 22
Shakhtar
P-P
Vorskla