Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 36.11%. A win for Polissya Zhytomyr had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.39%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Polissya Zhytomyr win was 1-0 (12.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.