Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 22
Mar 31, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butov'skogo
Dynamo Kiev

Vorskla
1 - 5
Dynamo Kiev

Kovtalyuk (83')
Chelyadin (66')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Vanat (30'), Brazhko (45+2'), Shaparenko (47' pen., 77'), Yarmolenko (78')
Tymchyk (39'), Syrota (75')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Vorskla Poltava and Dynamo Kiev.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vorskla Poltava

All competitions
Last Game: Oleksandriya 1-0 Vorskla
Friday, March 15 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Dynamo Kiev

All competitions
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 2-0 Luhansk
Tuesday, March 12 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 18.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 1-0 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.

Result
Vorskla PoltavaDrawDynamo Kiev
18.84% (0.167 0.17)22.58% (0.203 0.2)58.58% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)
Both teams to score 51.11% (-0.343 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.43% (-0.607 -0.61)47.57% (0.61199999999999 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23% (-0.563 -0.56)69.77% (0.568 0.57)
Vorskla Poltava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.78% (-0.167 -0.17)39.22% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.07% (-0.159 -0.16)75.93% (0.163 0.16)
Dynamo Kiev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.09% (-0.328 -0.33)15.92% (0.333 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.84% (-0.611 -0.61)45.17% (0.616 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Vorskla Poltava 18.84%
    Dynamo Kiev 58.57%
    Draw 22.58%
Vorskla PoltavaDrawDynamo Kiev
1-0 @ 5.84% (0.121 0.12)
2-1 @ 5.03% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.73% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.57%
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 18.84%
1-1 @ 10.73% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.157 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 22.58%
0-1 @ 11.47% (0.16 0.16)
0-2 @ 10.54% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.46% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 6.05% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-4 @ 2.97% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.78% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1.09% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.02% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 58.57%

Head to Head
Sep 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Dynamo Kiev
2-0
Vorskla
Voloshyn (5'), Benito (83')

Santana (28'), Sklyar (38'), Korniyenko (44')
May 4, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 24
Vorskla
1-2
Dynamo Kiev
Stepanyuk (13')
Vanat (24'), Benito (48')
Oct 23, 2022 11am
Gameweek 9
Dynamo Kiev
1-1
Vorskla
Buyalskyy (33')
Yurchenko (44')
May 14, 2022 1am
Gameweek 24
Vorskla
0-0
Dynamo Kiev
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Dynamo Kiev
1-2
Vorskla
Vitinho (90+5')
Zabarnyi (33'), Sydorchuk (45'), Shaparenko (76'), Vitinho (81')
Rangel (34'), Thill (74' pen.)
Tamm (18'), Puclin (31'), Rangel (39'), Kravchuk (79'), Kushnirenko (90+6'), Perduta (90+7')
Kravchuk (80')