Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 1-0 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.