Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 69.72%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 11.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.49%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 0-1 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Dynamo Kiev in this match.