Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Lviv win with a probability of 43.89%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 25.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Lviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.76%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 0-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.